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March 10, 2024

China
China’s Record Manufacturing Surplus

The U.S. likes talking about the dominance of the dollar. But don’t short-change China’s current dominance of manufacturing trade. Trade imbalances need to be taken seriously again.

Manufactured Goods Surpluses

March 25, 2024

China
China’s Marriage Rate Bounces Back After Covid—But Only Temporarily

An uptick in the number of new marriages in 2023 is likely a only temporary blip rather than a long-term change from China's steady transition to a rapidly aging society.

A couple holding marriage certificates poses for a photo outside a registry office of marriage in Beijing, China.

October 27, 2023

China
The Passing of a Premier and China’s Future

While few are likely to mourn one of China's most colorless leaders, his death could be used as a way to criticize his former boss, Xi Jinping. 

Li Keqiang attends the ASEAN summit held in Phnom Penh, Cambodia November 11, 2022

February 22, 2024

Asia
Tipped Power Balance: China’s Peak and the U.S. Resilience

China's decline in economy and influence might indicate its unlikeliness to displace the United States as a leading global power in the foreseeable future. This development calls for a reevaluation o…

China's President Xi Jinping speaks at the "Senior Chinese Leader Event" held by the National Committee on US-China Relations and the US-China Business Council on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in San Francisco

February 5, 2024

China
China’s New Currency Playbook

China’s pivot to a new strategy of indirect intervention through its large state banks requires new approaches to policing currency policies by both the U.S. Treasury and IMF.

Settlement by banks in China vs. Yuan-Dollar Exchange Rate

May 23, 2024

Election 2024
A Second Trump Term: How Will Each Southeast Asian State Respond? Part 2

A potential second Trump administration would force Southeast Asian countries to make difficult choices between the United States and China.

Former President Trump gestures while speaking in front of a crowd wearing a red tie and blue suit.

January 25, 2024

China
Totalism and State-Society Relations in China

The distinction between totalitarianism and totalism offers valuable insights for China studies and the making of U.S. China policy.

Chinese President Xi Jinping attends the opening ceremony of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China.

May 22, 2024

Election 2024
A Second Trump Term: How Will Each Southeast Asian State Respond? Part 1

A potential second Trump administration would upend Southeast Asia’s preferred strategy of hedging between the United States and China.

Former President Trump gestures while speaking in front of a crowd wearing a red MAGA hat, red tie, and blue suit.

February 1, 2024

China
China and India Compete for Leadership of the Global South

China and India compete for leadership of the Global South, but it remains unclear whether either is winning. 

Chinese President Xi Jinping (R) and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (L) shake hand beforethe group photo session of Dialogue of Emerging Market and Developing Countries, in sideline of 2017 BRICS Summit in Xiamen, Fujian province in China.