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March 13, 2009

United States
The bad news hidden in the good news (today’s trade data)

The US January trade deficit fell to $36 billion. That is as low as it has been in a long time. The petroleum deficit (seasonally adjusted) fell to $14.7 billion -- $4 billion less than in Dece…

The bad news hidden in the good news (today’s trade data)

March 6, 2009

Monetary Policy
Russia says no to the Agencies ...

That isn’t exactly news. Those who follow the TIC data closely had little doubt that Russia was reducing its Agency portfolio. But the fact that Russia explicitly indicated its sovereign fund…

Russia says no to the Agencies ...

December 10, 2007

China
The search for China’s missing foreign assets …

Yesterday I noted the remarkable slowdown in China’s reserve growth over the last few months.     Chinese reserve growth over the last three months – after adjusting for estimated valuation gains -- …

chinese_bank_fx_growth_12m_dec_07

February 14, 2008

United States
The 2007 US trade data

The US December trade deficit was a bit smaller than expected -- thanks to a jump in exports (paced by a $1.35b increase in aircraft exports) and a big ($3.9b) fall in non-oil goods imports. The fa…

trade_07_4.jpg

June 10, 2008

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Shhh.. don’t tell any one. The US trade deficit is getting worse, not better

The $60.9 billion monthly April trade deficit was the largest monthly deficit since last March. So much for the notion that the trade deficit has turned the proverbial corner. One price explains …

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