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January 3, 2009

Monetary Policy
Secrets of SAFE, Part 1: Look to the UK to find some of China’s Treasuries and Agencies

Not everyone who read my earlier post on China’s flight from risky assets was convinced that a large share of the UK’s (net) Treasury purchases should be attributed to China. Talk is cheap. M…

Secrets of SAFE, Part 1:  Look to the UK to find some of China’s Treasuries and Agencies

April 24, 2009

Monetary Policy
"Not quite so SAFE": This week’s Economics Focus column

This week’s Economist covers two topics that regular readers know very, very well: China’s reserve growth and China’s holdings of US debt. The estimates for China’s US holdings in the Economist a…

May 27, 2009

Monetary Policy
The Treasury market, in a world no longer dominated by central bank reserve managers

In case you haven’t heard, the Treasury market – and the mortgage market -- had a bad day. Ten-year Treasury yields are back at their November 2008 levels (long-term Treasury yields didn’t fall imm…

treasury-issuance-thru-april-09-1

January 16, 2009

Monetary Policy
A few quick words on the November TIC data

China sold $9.2 billion of long-term Treasuries. But it also bought $38.2b of short-term Treasuries. China’s total Treasury holdings are up by $29.1b. By contrast it sold $3.1b of long-term Ag…

A few quick words on the November TIC data

March 11, 2008

United States
More oil, less stuff: The US January trade data

The Fed’s dramatic policy announcement has justifiably overshadowed the January trade data, which didn’t tell us much that we didn’t already know. Suffice to say that the rise in the overall defic…

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