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January 16, 2009

Monetary Policy
A few quick words on the November TIC data

China sold $9.2 billion of long-term Treasuries. But it also bought $38.2b of short-term Treasuries. China’s total Treasury holdings are up by $29.1b. By contrast it sold $3.1b of long-term Ag…

A few quick words on the November TIC data

July 2, 2019

Global Governance
The Anticipatory Governance of Solar Radiation Management

Emission reductions alone are unlikely to prevent severe climate change effects. Geoengineering proposals are a way forward, but they need legitimate and effective governance.

Sun setting over the ocean in North Devon, United Kingdom, on February 7, 2011.

March 11, 2008

United States
More oil, less stuff: The US January trade data

The Fed’s dramatic policy announcement has justifiably overshadowed the January trade data, which didn’t tell us much that we didn’t already know. Suffice to say that the rise in the overall defic…

real_trade_jan_08.jpg

November 13, 2008

United States
Ut-oh .... exports are starting to fall fast

For the US trade deficit to fall (setting the effect of falling oil prices aside), exports have to grow faster than imports -- or imports have to fall faster than exports. If exports fall faster tha…

Ut-oh .... exports are starting to fall fast

October 20, 2008

United States
How far will the US trade deficit fall next year?

US exports have been growing faster than non-oil imports for the last two years. The August trade data hints at a slowdown in exports. But at least on a y/y basis, the slowdown remains modest. …

How far will the US trade deficit fall next year?