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March 18, 2024

Japan
The Japanese Bid for Foreign Bonds After the End of Yield Curve Control

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to end yield curve control. But Japanese yields will remain low, and foreign bonds will remain attractive to those Japanese investors who don’t have to hedg…

The Japanese Bid for Foreign Bonds After the End of Yield Curve Control

March 10, 2024

China
China’s Record Manufacturing Surplus

The U.S. likes talking about the dominance of the dollar. But don’t short-change China’s current dominance of manufacturing trade. Trade imbalances need to be taken seriously again.

Manufactured Goods Surpluses

February 22, 2024

Economics
The IMF Needs to Focus on Setting Good Targets for External Debt Sustainability

The IMF has two frameworks for assessing debt sustainability. The market access country framework is more technically advanced, but it isn't delivering reasonable targets for debt restructuring cases…

10-Year Bonds: Key Cases

February 5, 2024

China
China’s New Currency Playbook

China’s pivot to a new strategy of indirect intervention through its large state banks requires new approaches to policing currency policies by both the U.S. Treasury and IMF.

Settlement by banks in China vs. Yuan-Dollar Exchange Rate

February 1, 2024

Russia
Mobilizing Russia’s Immobilized Reserves

A quick note on the debate over the use of Russia’s frozen reserves.

Euro banknotes at a money exchange office.

January 22, 2024

Economics
An SDR-Linked Bond Can Strengthen the Finances of the World Bank Group

SDR-denominated bonds have the potential to significantly strengthen the balance sheet of both the IBRD (The World Bank) and IDA, freeing up cash and helping both institutions deliver on their mandat…

An SDR-Linked Bond Can Strengthen the Finances of the World Bank Group

November 29, 2023

Economics
How the U.S. and EU Could Harmonize Their Approaches to Trade in EVs and Steel

Despite sharing broadly similar policy goals, the U.S. and EU are currently struggling to find common approaches to trade in green goods. New ideas are needed.

How the U.S. and EU Could Harmonize Their Approaches to Trade in EVs and Steel

November 21, 2023

China
China's Current Account Surplus Is Likely Much Bigger Than Reported

The IMF needs to focus on China’s external account in its surveillance. The reported current account surplus appears to be significantly too low.

China's Current Account Surplus Is Likely Much Bigger Than Reported

October 23, 2005

Economics
Another blogging Brad?

I never realized there were so many "Brad's" (leaving aside the famous one from Missouri now linked to Ms. Jolie) til I started doing this ... DeLong.  Plumer.  And now Brad Humphries over at the Spo…