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May 13, 2009

China
China’s $1.5 Trillion Bet

Overview This is an update to the January 2009 Working Paper China’s $1.7 Trillion Bet. Download the original paper [PDF]. China is now by far the United States’ largest creditor. Its treasury …

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January 1, 2009

Fossil Fuels
GCC Sovereign Funds

Overview For several years, high oil prices enabled the Gulf Cooperation Council countries to add large sums to their state coffers. Falling oil prices imply that some Gulf countries may need to d…

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October 19, 2016

Northeast Asia
The Return of the East Asian Savings Glut

Overview The combined savings of China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and the two city-states of Hong Kong and Singapore is about 40 percent of their collective GDP, a thirty-five-year high. No other regi…

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July 11, 2017

Fossil Fuels
Using External Breakeven Prices to Track Vulnerabilities in Oil-Exporting Countries

The best single measure of the resilience of an oil- or gas-exporting economy in the face of swings in the global oil price is its external breakeven price: the oil price that covers its import bill…

External breakevens petroleum oil

July 11, 2017

Energy and Environment
Interactive: Oil Exporters' External Breakeven Prices

The 2014 fall in global oil prices, from over $100 a barrel to around $50 a barrel, reduced the export proceeds of the world’s main oil- and gas-exporting economies by about $1 trillion. After a deca…