Blogs

Follow the Money

Brad Setser tracks cross-border flows, with a bit of macroeconomics thrown in.

Latest Post

China’s New Currency Peg

The peg that shall not be named, and all the trouble that creates. Read More

China
Can China Reduce Its Internal Balances Without Renewed External Imbalances?
The rest of the world has a big stake in whether China responds to the demand drag from its construction and real estate slump with looser monetary policy or with direct stimulus to households.
China
China Isn't Shifting Away From the Dollar or Dollar Bonds
China's reserves has shifted its dollar reserves from Treasuries to Agencies, and made increased use of offshore custodians. The available evidence suggests that it still holds about 50 percent of its reserves in dollar bonds.
China
How to Hide Your Foreign Exchange Reserves—A User’s Guide
A deep dive into the techniques China used to hide its foreign exchange reserves over the last twenty years 
  • Turkey
    Turkey’s Increasing Balance Sheet Risks
    Turkey is heading for a classic currency crisis.  All of its reserves and then some are borrowed.
  • Economics
    Using an SDR Bond Creatively to Boost Concessional and Climate Finance
    Combining an SDR with budget funding is the most efficient way to stretch budgeted dollars (and euros) and increased the global supply of concessional financing. 
  • Economics
    Getting Debt Restructuring Terms Right
    State contingent instruments can play a role in debt restructuring agreements, but they shouldn’t be a give-away to investors.  There is a compelling case for their use in Zambia—but not in Sri Lanka.