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August 17, 2008

Financial Markets
Nouriel Roubini gets a medal ...

A well-deserved one too. Nouriel stuck to his core views -- housing was massively over-valued, the financial system was heavily exposed to a fall in home prices and the fall out from a fall in US…

February 14, 2005

United States
How long will the world keep on financing the US: my new paper with Nouriel Roubini

Nouriel and I went out on a bit of a limb in this paper. Since the beginning of the year, the dollar has rallied and yields on the ten-year and thirty year treasury bond have fallen: both market mov…

November 16, 2006

United States
Wrong about 2006. Right about 2007? Or 2008?

I don’t think that Nouriel Roubini and I ever argued Bretton Woods 2 – an international monetary system based on central bank financing of the US deficit -- would absolutely collapse by the end of 20…

November 6, 2008

China
How severe a slump in China?

The US, UK, Eurozone and Japan all look to be in recessions. The US and Europe had been the main drivers of global demand growth – at least for finished goods. That is going to change. Emerging…

November 20, 2004

United States
Large Players in Large Markets

One of the world’s ironies is that even as John Snow putters on about how currency values should be set by market forces, the market -- or at least the private market -- is now playing a comparativel…