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January 6, 2008

Economics
Looking back at the top macroeconomic and financial stories of 2007, and looking forward to 2008

Here is my list of the top five stories of 2007 - and some things that I’ll be watching in 2008. What did I miss?1. The "subprime" crisis. The credibility of Wall Street’s financial engineering …

October 18, 2006

Monetary Policy
The impact of central bank demand on US bond yields.

In late 2004 and early 2005, Nouriel and I estimated that the actions of foreign central banks might be holding US yields down by as much as 200 bp. That estimate found its way into Pam Woodall’s Eco…

January 24, 2008

Financial Markets
Property without power?

Diplomatic sovereign wealth funds argue, more or less, that they have no desire for power - so there should be no restrictions on their ability to accumulate property. Those hoping for a cut of the S…

April 30, 2006

Can the dollar block survive another bout of dollar weakness?

In case you haven't noticed, the dollar is now closer to 1.30 (v. the euro) than 1.20 - or even 1.15.  Carry is no longer king.   There is talk of a "regime change" in the fx market.  Or at least an …

December 21, 2006

Emerging Markets
Crises of too much v. crises of too little

I was not all that impressed by the “day after” coverage of  Thailand’s capital controls in the financial press.     Everyone initially looked for parallels to 1997 – and signs that the most recen…