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November 19, 2004

Greenspan, part II

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan was careful to frame the risk created by rising US external debt for foreigners investing in the US (and in the process financing the US current account …

January 30, 2005

Financial Markets
Stephen Jen might want to rejigger his model

Apparently, Mr. Jen thinks the dollar -- despite the United States’ 6.2% of GDP current account deficit -- is significantly undervalued against all major currencies, and fairly valued against most As…

February 1, 2005

United States
One number to watch

My nomination for the single number that best captures the state of total’s world economy -- and a key risk going forward: The annual increase in central banks dollar reserves.It is not exactly a num…

February 24, 2005

Monetary Policy
An Asian OPEC?

A less kind headline might be "Asian policy makers meet, agree to continue manipulating foreign exchange markets" Still, this Bloomberg article (link thanks to Calculated Risk) suggests that there ma…

May 22, 2005

Financial Markets
That strong renminbi (ok, that strong dollar)

The RMB has appreciated by about 7% against one of China’s major trading partners this year. Not the US, obviously. But that doesn’t mean that China is not exposed to moves in the dollar-euro, or t…