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February 24, 2005

Monetary Policy
An Asian OPEC?

A less kind headline might be "Asian policy makers meet, agree to continue manipulating foreign exchange markets" Still, this Bloomberg article (link thanks to Calculated Risk) suggests that there ma…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money

May 22, 2005

Financial Markets
That strong renminbi (ok, that strong dollar)

The RMB has appreciated by about 7% against one of China’s major trading partners this year. Not the US, obviously. But that doesn’t mean that China is not exposed to moves in the dollar-euro, or t…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money

June 27, 2005

China
Martin Wolf makes sense (the Economist does not)

Martin Wolf’s FT column makes a number of crucial points:1) Asia has let undervalued exchange rates (and reserve accumulation) substitute for policies to promote domestic demand. The (growing) back…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money

July 21, 2005

China shifts to a basket peg

But the change against the dollar is small.  Very small. Too small in my view to have much of an economic impact, in any way.  On trade flows.  Or on capital flows.  I would still bet on a furth…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money

September 4, 2005

China
If it is still a dollar peg, where is the monetary policy flexiblity?

I rarely agree with Steven "trade deficits do not matter" Jen.   His models for G3 exchange rate determination leave out a variable - the pace at which the US is adding to its external debt and its r…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money