124 Results for:

August 4, 2006

China
Stephen Jen is right

That is not something I say all the time. I suspect I am among Stephen Jen's prototypes for what he calls structural dollar bear.    And Stephen " “current account deficits inside the dollar …

January 25, 2007

Economics
Sometimes I agree with Dr. Jen

I rather suspect I favor a bigger and faster appreciation of the RMB over time than does Dr. Jen, but I very much agree with his argument for a bit more RMB appreciation in the near term.   Stephen J…

October 9, 2006

United States
Stephen Jen, Eternal optimist

Apparently, the US fiscal deficit is set to disappear and the US current account deficit has peaked.  At least it has in Stephen Jen-land.  In his latest email Jen writes: “US’s corporate revenues ar…

March 16, 2007

United States
Jen v. Setser on exchange rates and global adjustment

It is fair to say that I see the world very differently than Dr. Jen.  He thinks imbalances are a natural byproduct of globalization.    I think they are a natural byproduct of undervalued exchange r…

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May 3, 2006

Financial Markets
Stephen Jen knows currencies, not communiqués

Stephen – the dollar will go down, but “ the US will not adopt a weak dollar policy … and the sky will not fall on the dollar” – Jen has gotten the course of a the dollar/ euro roughly right for the …

November 5, 2006

Monetary Policy
Stephen Jen - the anti-Roubini (and the anti-Setser)

The odds of a US recession: Nouriel Roubini: 90% Stephen Jen: 13%  I know my comparative advantage does not lie in gauging whether or not a sharp fall in residential investment will spill o…

October 26, 2005

United States
What to say when the markets are listening to Stephen Jen?

The Economist's Buttonwood struggles with something I have also struggled with:Stephen "Interest rate and growth differentials, not current account deficits" Jen has basically been right on the d…

January 30, 2005

Financial Markets
Stephen Jen might want to rejigger his model

Apparently, Mr. Jen thinks the dollar -- despite the United States’ 6.2% of GDP current account deficit -- is significantly undervalued against all major currencies, and fairly valued against most As…

March 18, 2019

Defense and Security
The Limits of Orthodoxy: What Diversity Brings to Nuclear Security

Voices from the Field features contributions from scholars and practitioners highlighting new research, thinking, and approaches to development challenges.

Negotiators meet in Palais Coburg, the venue for nuclear talks, in Vienna, Austria July 13, 2015.

November 27, 2006

Monetary Policy
Stephen Jen: only 60% of China’s reserves are in dollars.

Stephen Jen sometimes says the darnedest things.  Not about currencies.   But about reserves. His estimates for oil reserve growth have been consistently on the low side.   Norway, the UAE and Kuwait…